Pneumonia Deaths Declining Rapidly Since January [???]

April 5th, 2020

Update: Delay in Reporting the Numbers [???]

GB sent this Twitter post from @TylerMorganMe which states:

The “dip” people are talking about in pneumonia cases is caused by the lag in reporting of deaths through the CDC.

Pneumonia deaths down.

Covid-19 deaths up.

Hmm.

I’m not able to figure out how to plot this on the CDC’s site, but the dataset is here if you want to make your own:

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weeklyarchives2019-2020/data/NCHSData12.csv

There is a very active discussion of this on Reddit: Pneumonia Deaths have fallen off a cliff this year, I wonder what could have caused this to happen.

Via: According to Hoyt:

…the 2019-2020 season shows week by week pneumonia mortality to be low compared to the last few years, which is not what I expected. What I truly did not expect was the sharp decline over the last few weeks.

4 Responses to “Pneumonia Deaths Declining Rapidly Since January [???]”

  1. staticwave says:

    “ COVID-19 should be reported on the death certificate for all decedents where the disease caused or is assumed to have caused or contributed to death.“

    https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvss/coronavirus/Alert-2-New-ICD-code-introduced-for-COVID-19-deaths.pdf

  2. Kevin says:

    “Assumed.”

    haha

  3. soothing hex says:

    In Italy they were apparently able not to attribute deaths to COVID-19 in 88 % of persons tested positive who died. On deaths certificate that is.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/everyone-wants-coronavirus-data-should-treat-numbers-caution/

    In the UK deaths by respiratory disease averaged in the 200 per day by the end of March (about in line with the average for the past 5 years). Now there are 600 announced COVID-19 deaths per day (NHS data).

    https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/weeklyprovisionalfiguresondeathsregisteredinenglandandwales

    https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsregisteredweeklyinenglandandwalesprovisional/weekending20march2020

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