Cryptogon readers were informed that a major U.S. policy shift in Iraq might be underway a full four days before it was reported in mainstream news.
My analysis of server logs indicated that a user from the U.S. Central Command was looking for information about counterinsurgency operations in El Salvador.
I assumed that a military analyst was working on something related to covert counterinsurgency operations, and that a flawed analogy was being drawn between El Salvador and Iraq.
Cryptogon post from 1/4/05:
U.S. Central Command Hits Cryptogon... Again
The CENTCOM user (host: cumulus.centcom.mil, ip: 192.31.19.50) conducted the following Google search: RAND: Counterinsurgency in El Salvador.
HINT to the CENTCOM user: If you're an analyst trying to use analogical reasoning to link the tactics that resulted in "success" for the U.S. in El Salvador to Iraq, you can forget it. The U.S. will bankrupt itself, economically and politically, before an El Salvador-type horror show could ever work. Besides, El Salvador was a covert war. Iraq is much more in the spotlight. How many U.S. trained death squad members did it take to terrorize El Salvador into semi-submission? Scale that up to the Iraqi situation. The FMLN never had the level of public support the Iraqi insurgency has now. And, the last time I checked, FMLN guerrillas weren't willing to use their bodies as weapons delivery platforms in suicide attacks by the thousands... but I digress.
Wow, brother, it's not going to be easy to torture all those women and children to death... Maybe you should think about letting Saddam out of his cage so he could get up to his old tricks, eh? Maybe keep him on his leash this time?
What? You don't find my humor amusing? Well, all that's left to do at this stage is make jokes about the absurd state of reality, so, get used to it.
Why don't you consider a different line of work? Surely, by now, you know your education and your career have been a fraud. You must also know that the beast you're serving will eventually eat you.
Related: The Other CENTCOM Hit from a Couple of Days Ago...
The CENTCOM user (host: cumulus.centcom.mil, ip: 192.31.19.50) conducted the following Google search: map of fiber optic network in Iraq.
And now, MSNBC/Newsweek from 1/8/05 (yesterday):
WEB EXCLUSIVE
By Michael Hirsh and John Barry
Newsweek
Updated: 5:33 p.m. ET Jan. 8, 2005
Jan. 8 - What to do about the deepening quagmire of Iraq? The Pentagons latest approach is being called "the Salvador option"and the fact that it is being discussed at all is a measure of just how worried Donald Rumsfeld really is. "What everyone agrees is that we cant just go on as we are," one senior military officer told NEWSWEEK. "We have to find a way to take the offensive against the insurgents. Right now, we are playing defense. And we are losing." Last Novembers operation in Fallujah, most analysts agree, succeeded less in breaking "the back" of the insurgencyas Marine Gen. John Sattler optimistically declared at the timethan in spreading it out.
Now, NEWSWEEK has learned, the Pentagon is intensively debating an option that dates back to a still-secret strategy in the Reagan administrations battle against the leftist guerrilla insurgency in El Salvador in the early 1980s. Then, faced with a losing war against Salvadoran rebels, the U.S. government funded or supported "nationalist" forces that allegedly included so-called death squads directed to hunt down and kill rebel leaders and sympathizers. Eventually the insurgency was quelled, and many U.S. conservatives consider the policy to have been a successdespite the deaths of innocent civilians and the subsequent Iran-Contra arms-for-hostages scandal.
When that CENTCOM user hit Cryptogon, the darkness reached out and touched me, and it told me what it was going to do. I didn't want to believe it, but as soon as I saw the domain name from where the search originated, I felt a chill shoot down my spine. I thought, "Maybe I can talk some sense into the person who's working on this policy. Maybe I can influence someone enough to make a difference."
It's difficult to describe the feeling of shock that set in when I saw this MSNBC/Newsweek piece. My hands began to shake and I felt sick. You might think that I would have been excited about making the connections based upon a single entry from an Apache web server log. Nope. I thought about corpses. Oscar Romero. Wiped out villages. Nuns, raped and executed.
If El Salvador was a success, what counts as failure?
The Crucifixion of El SalvadorDeath Squads in El Salvador: A Pattern of U.S. ComplicityJustice DeniedEl Salvador - Lost History: Death, Lies and Bodywashing
Dick Cheney's El Salvador
posted by Kevin at 2:02 AM