AI 2027
April 4th, 2025Via: AI 2027:
We predict that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution.
We wrote a scenario that represents our best guess about what that might look like. It’s informed by trend extrapolations, wargames, expert feedback, experience at OpenAI, and previous forecasting successes.
“our alignment techniques seem to work well enough in practice; the burden of proof is therefore on any naysayers to justify their naysaying.”
“Choose your ending: Slowdown or Race. The Slowdown ending is not a recommendation.”
Is this article a spoof?
People are losing their jobs, but Safer-4 copies in government are managing the economic transition so adroitly that people are happy to be replaced.
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As the stock market balloons, anyone who had the right kind of AI investments pulls further away from the rest of society.
I wonder where the earnings would come from for that to happen. As Paul Ricca once said to Sam Giancana, one hand washes the other (“and right now, one of those hands is empty…”).
A fully-automatized market economy based on private capital is an Escheresque prophecy. Whatever value issuing from dead (i.e. past) labor investment would preserve, how to justify the risks involved? One must keep in mind that (natural) commodities become more difficult to extract as technical development intensifies, so in these hypothetical circumstances they’re comparatively a safe bet.
Earnings by decree maybe?