WHOLESALE PRICES IN 2007 UP 6.3%

January 15th, 2008

WARNING: This is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any financial instrument.

You’re going to cut, Ben.

Don’t even give me any of this “dilemma” nonsense. The Fed can continue to cut, and keep the coke heads on Wall Street twitching for another few weeks or months, or not, and crash the whole damn show. Those appear to be the options, as far as I can tell.

I’ve got to look at some charts. 74.50 on the U.S. Dollar Index must be taken out. If not, all of us gold hoarding dollar bear freaks might need to take evasive action, hedge, cover some positions, etc.

I’ll try to post a USDX chart later today.

HINT: I’m already thinking about laying on a hedge with some Feb DIA and QQQQ puts, but I know it’s just insurance, because, Ben, dammit, you’re going to cut.

Via: AP:

Wholesale inflation last year shot up by the largest amount in 26 years while retailers suffered their worst December shopping season in five years as mounting economic woes caused consumers to put away their wallets.

The Labor Department reported that wholesale inflation was up 6.3 percent for all of 2007, reflecting a huge increase for the year in various types of energy costs ranging from gasoline to home heating oil.

Meanwhile, retail sales fell by 0.4 percent in December, the worst showing in six months, the Commerce Department reported. Consumer confidence has plunged, reflecting the worsening housing slump and a lingering credit crisis.

For inflation, the year ended on a more positive note, with wholesale prices falling by 0.1 percent in December. That reflected decreasing costs last month for gasoline and other energy products. It was a significant slowdown after prices had soared by 3.2 percent in November, which had been the biggest one-month increase in 34 years.

The combination of rising inflation pressures and a weak economy represent a dilemma for the Federal Reserve over whether to cut rates to boost economic growth even at the risk of making inflation worse.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke last week sent a strong signal that the Fed is more worried at the moment about weak growth than inflation — given a series of weaker-than-expected data in recent weeks. He is expected to give an economic outlook update on Thursday to the House Budget Committee.

The economy skidded to a virtual standstill in the final three months of last year, raising fears the country could fall into a recession, unable to withstand the multiple blows from the prolonged downturn in housing, a severe credit crisis and soaring energy costs.

Already, unemployment is rising. The jobless rate jumped to 5 percent in December, up from 4.7 percent in November. That was the biggest one-month surge in unemployment since October 2001 in the wake of the 2001 terrorist attacks.

The various economic threats have sent consumer confidence plunging and pushed the economy to the top of voters’ concerns. Political leaders have responded, with President Bush, Democrats in Congress and presidential candidates from both parties putting forward economic stimulus proposals.

The 6.3 percent increase in the Producer Price Index, which measures cost pressures before they reach the consumer, followed a much more moderate 1.1 percent increase in 2006.

It was the biggest annual price gain since a 6.3 percent rise in 1981, a year when the Federal Reserve was aggressively raising interest rates in a successful effort to combat a decade-long bout of stagflation, rising inflation in conjunction with weak economic growth.

The big increase last year reflected the fact that energy prices rose by 18.4 percent after having declined by 2 percent in 2006. It was the biggest annual increase in energy costs at the wholesale level since they rose by 23.9 percent in 2005.

Posted in Economy | Top Of Page

One Response to “WHOLESALE PRICES IN 2007 UP 6.3%”

  1. “I’ll try to post a USDX chart later today.”

    This one?:
    http://www.fxstreet.com/rates-charts/usdollar-index/

    FWIW, social security recipients got a 2.3% COLA.

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